Waiting for price,switching marketsand managing risk.

Winning is the result. Price reflects the quality of the decision.

Part 1 explained why Celtic's expected advantage was expressed through corners rather than the score handicap. Part 2 follows the live execution.

Results

Seven bets, seven wins. Total stake: 4.50. Profit: +3.1995. ROI: +71.1%.

28 minutes: Celtic first-half team corners over 3.5 @1.89

We did not chase after Celtic won two corners in the opening three minutes. The early burst shortened the odds and raised the line. We waited for a temporary pause, then entered only after the pressure structure remained intact and the price returned.

• Required probability: 52.9%
• Estimated probability: 57–63%
• EV: +7.7% to +19.1%
• Stake: 0.50

Half-time market switch

At 0-0, Celtic remained clearly ahead in the underlying match data. Instead of continuing to chase corner overs, we moved into Celtic win and first-goal scenarios because the corner pace was expected to slow after a Celtic goal.

Second-half first goal at approximately 1.50

We waited after the restart until the price approached 1.50 while Celtic's pressure remained intact.

65-minute hedge

Dundee +2.5 and total corners under 15.5 at 1.899 protected part of the downside without denying the main Celtic-win scenario. It survived 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 and 3-1.

Final

Celtic won 1-0. Corners finished 9-3. The important result was not merely seven wins, but the sequence: select the right market, wait for price, switch when the game state changes, and rebalance risk.

DATA DRIVEN. BET SMARTER.