VALUE ANALYSIS
Find the mispricing. Record the decision.
Pre-match models, live decisions, and post-match validation built from model probability, fair odds, and market prices.
Official English article
World Cup Final review: Argentina had zero shots in 90 minutes.
Spain won after extra time, but regulation ended 0-0. Validate the pre-match value thesis against a 15–0 shot count and 9–1 corners.
Official English article
World Cup Final: Spain vs Argentina — the clean-sheet machine or Messi’s final chapter?
Model diagnostics, probability adjustment and the case for Total Under 2.25 at +12.92% EV before kickoff.
Official English article
The main bet lost. The pre-match analysis still worked live.
France vs Spain: the complete record of ten bets and the live adjustments made after the primary pre-match bet failed.
Official English article
Written before the result: where the value was in France vs Spain.
The complete pre-match model, market-price comparison, entry conditions, and no-bet decisions published before kickoff.
EV Bet Engine is the source of record. Other platforms are used only for distribution and discovery.